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When Jerome Powell Speaks Bitcoin Listens

The Fed moves and so can crypto: here’s how speeches by Jerome Powell still shake up Bitcoin.

Oscar Harding
Last updated: December 2, 2025 8:24 pm
Oscar Harding
3 Min Read
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3 Min Read

Every time Jerome Powell, the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve, gets ready to speak, the financial world holds its breath. From Wall Street to crypto exchanges, traders wait and watch closely  because what he says can change everything. And that includes Bitcoin.

Even though Bitcoin is often seen as separate from the traditional financial system, it’s still highly sensitive to interest rates, inflation, and investor confidence. Powell’s words often give clues about where interest rates are headed. If he signals that the Fed might cut rates soon, risky assets like Bitcoin often rally. But if he sounds worried about inflation or says rates will stay high, traders get nervous  and Bitcoin tends to fall.

We’ve seen this play out many times. Before a big Powell speech, markets often slow down. People stop making big moves because they’re waiting to see what Powell will say. If he strikes a calm and hopeful tone  what traders call “dovish”  Bitcoin usually bounces. But if his message is more cautious or uncertain  “hawkish”  crypto markets can drop fast.

This time is no different. Bitcoin’s recent price movements show it’s already reacting to expectations about Powell’s next comments. Traders are placing bets not just on what the Fed will do, but on how Powell will talk about the economy. That’s because the tone of his speech often moves markets before any actual policy changes happen.

If Powell talks about inflation being under control or hints that interest rate cuts could come soon, Bitcoin might see another surge. Lower rates mean cheaper money and more appetite for risk  and crypto benefits from that. But if Powell warns that inflation is still too high or that the economy is too strong for rate cuts, Bitcoin could drop again as investors run to safer assets.

It’s not just about Powell’s words either  it’s how the market interprets them. Sometimes, even a neutral message can cause big reactions if it doesn’t match what traders were expecting.

So what should we watch for? First, pay attention to the tone: is he being optimistic or cautious? Second, listen for mentions of inflation, job growth, or the strength of the U.S. economy  all of these influence interest rate decisions. And third, watch how other markets  like stocks and bonds  react. Often, Bitcoin follows their lead.

The bottom line is clear: even though Bitcoin is outside traditional finance, it’s still affected by the same forces. When Powell speaks, his words ripple across all markets  including crypto. If you’re trading or holding Bitcoin, it’s smart to keep an eye on the Fed. Because the next move in the crypto market might just start at a podium in Washington, D.C.

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ByOscar Harding
G'day I’m Oscar Harding, a Australia based crypto / web3 blogger / Summary writer and NFT artist. “Boomer in the blockchain.” I break down Web3 in plain English and make art in pencil, watercolour, Illustrator, AI, and animation. Off-chain: into  combat sports, gold panning, cycling and fishing. If I don’t know it, I’ll dig in research, verify, and ask. Here to learn, share, and help onboard the next wave.
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